Tallinn, Estonia
Where TomorrowBETAPriorities

City report · today and 2035

Tallinn

Estonia

Jorge Franganillo · CC BY 2.0

Scored on our default priorities. Set your own on the map and this report answers those instead.

From the data snapshot of 12 October 2026. The full report opens here with the live data.

Your match

53 today, 51 in 2035#34 of 46

Ahead of most places on tax. Behind on healthcare.

By 2035 your match moves from 53 to 51, mostly from cost of living (64 to 55).

At a glance

Average temperature
7.2°C
Winters -2.2°C
Monthly spend
€1,340
per person
Safety
82/100
average 83
Shortest day
6h 03m
longest 18h 40m
Air quality
9.9 µg/m³
1 station nearby read 3.9, much lower
Walkability
100/100
8,140 shops within 1 km

Today and in 2035

Eight measures, 0 to 100: where each stands, and where it is heading.

  • Climate Resilience: 85 today, 83 in 2035(Climate model)

    The median of 10 climate models (CMIP6, middle-road scenario) is +0.7°C by 2035.

  • Cost of Living: 64 today, 55 in 2035(Our forecast)

    Prices here sit below the US level and tend to rise as incomes catch up. House prices rose 121% in ten years, which adds pressure.

  • Safety & Stability: 82 today, 82 in 2035(Held at today)

    Crime and political stability do not follow a trend we can project, so we hold today's value.

  • Healthcare Access: 75 today, 75 in 2035(Held at today)

    We have no trend for its spending, life expectancy and out-of-pocket mix we can defend yet, so today's value is shown.

  • Visa Freedom: 47 today, 47 in 2035(Held at today)

    Visa rules change by political decision, not by trend, so we hold today's value.

  • Community Fit: 70 today, 75 in 2035(Our forecast)

    The share of residents born abroad has been growing in most countries, and we assume it keeps growing.

  • Internet Quality: 86 today, 94 in 2035(Our forecast)

    The share of people online keeps rising everywhere, fastest where it is lowest.

  • Tax Friendliness: 54 today, 54 in 2035(Held at today)

    Tax law changes by political decision, not by trend, so we hold today's value.

Where it shines

  • Lighter on tax. Tax Friendliness 54 of 100, against 44 on average across the 85 places we cover.

Worth weighing

  • Thinner healthcare. Healthcare Access 75 of 100, against 83 on average across the 85 places we cover.
  • Getting pricier. Cost of Living 64 today, 55 by 2035 on our forecast.

Weather and climate

Winters average -2.2°C, and a typical summer stays under 30°C.

Year-round average
7.2°C
Winter average
-2.2°C
coldest three months
Days of 30°C or more
0
a year
Humidity
85%
yearly average
Earthquakes, magnitude 5+
0
within 100 km, 1976–2025

The median of 10 climate models is +0.7°C by 2035 on the middle-road scenario. Climate resilience moves from 85 to 83.

Sources: NASA POWER (MERRA-2) (2020–2024) · CMIP6 ensemble via Copernicus CDS (2030–2039 vs 2015–2024) · ND-GAIN Country Index + NASA POWER (MERRA-2) (2024, 2020–2024) · USGS ComCat (1976–2025)

Cost of living

The average person here spends €1,340 a month. A single worker on the average wage keeps €1,638 after tax.

Monthly spend
€1,340
average per person
Price level
97
EU average = 100
House prices
+121%
over the last ten years
Can't heat their home
3.1%
of households
Rent, 2-bed flat
€1,150
unfurnished · 1-bed €720, 3-bed €1,600
Buying, per m²
€3,056
a flat
Local income level
79%
of the EU average, this region
Unemployment
7.5%
Eesti

Our forecast puts a month at about €1,470 by 2035, in today's money. Prices here sit below the US level and tend to rise as incomes catch up. House prices rose 121% in ten years, which adds pressure.

Sources: World Bank WDI (2025) · OECD Taxing Wages (2025) · Eurostat prc_colc_rents (2025) · Eurostat urb_clivcon (2025) · Eurostat prc_ppp_ind (2024) · Eurostat prc_hpi_a (2015→2025) · Eurostat ilc_mdes01 (2025) · Eurostat nama_10r_2gdp (2024) · Eurostat lfst_r_lfu3rt (2025)

Safety and healthcare

Safety scores 82 and healthcare 75, out of 100.

Homicides
1.5
per 100,000 people a year
Political stability
81/100
Life expectancy
79.4
years at birth, Eesti
Hospital beds
4.1
per 1,000 people
Health spending
$3,741
per person a year (PPP)
Paid out of pocket
21%
of all health spending

Healthcare is held at 75. We have no trend for its spending, life expectancy and out-of-pocket mix we can defend yet, so today's value is shown. Safety is held at 82: crime and politics follow no trend we can project.

Sources: World Bank WDI (2023) · World Bank WGI (2025) · Eurostat demo_r_mlifexp (2024) · World Bank WDI (2024)

Everyday life

Walkability scores 100 of 100: most errands work on foot.

Walkability
100/100
Within 1 km
8,140
shops, cafés and services
Fine dust (PM2.5)
9.9
µg/m³; WHO advises under 5
Wind
6.4 m/s
a windy place

Sources: OpenStreetMap (Overpass) (2026-10) · CAMS EAC4 via Copernicus ADS (2025) · OpenAQ (2025) · NASA POWER (MERRA-2) (2020–2024)

Children and schools

Full-time childcare for two small children costs about €39 a month after public support, 2% of an average wage.

Childcare for two
€39
a month after support, national, 2026
Fees before support
€100
a month, two children full-time
Childcare, share of a wage
2%
of one average wage, after support
Under-3s in childcare
35%
part- or full-time

Sources: OECD net childcare costs (2026) · Eurostat ilc_caindformal (2025)

Connection and community

14.9% of residents were born abroad, and internet scores 86 of 100.

People online
92%
Home broadband
35
lines per 100 people
Born abroad
14.9%
of residents

Our forecast moves internet from 86 to 94 and international community from 70 to 75 by 2035. The share of residents born abroad has been growing in most countries, and we assume it keeps growing.

Sources: World Bank WDI (2024)

Visas and tax

47% of the world's passports can enter without a visa arranged in advance.

Visa-free entry
47%
of the world's passports
Tax on an average wage
23.3%
21.6% income tax + 1.6% social security
Kept each month
€1,638
single, of €2,134 average gross pay
Kept each month, family
€1,798
one earner, two children
Tax take
22.7%
of the economy (GDP)
Tax friendliness
54/100

Both are held at today's values for 2035: visa and tax rules change by political decision, not by trend.

Sources: Passport Index dataset (current) · World Bank WDI (2024) · OECD Taxing Wages (2025)

Not in this report yet

We would rather say so than guess. Check these before you decide.

  • Residence routes for investors, students and families, and how long each permit takes to get
  • Income tax bands, and tax regimes for newcomers
  • School fees, and childcare costs in this city rather than the country
  • What a family would keep at your own salary

Where every number comes from

  • NASA POWER (MERRA-2) 2020–2024
  • CMIP6 ensemble via Copernicus CDS 2030–2039 vs 2015–2024
  • ND-GAIN Country Index + NASA POWER (MERRA-2) 2024, 2020–2024
  • USGS ComCat 1976–2025
  • World Bank WDI 2025
  • OECD Taxing Wages 2025
  • Eurostat prc_colc_rents 2025
  • Eurostat urb_clivcon 2025
  • Eurostat prc_ppp_ind 2024
  • Eurostat prc_hpi_a 2015→2025
  • Eurostat ilc_mdes01 2025
  • Eurostat nama_10r_2gdp 2024
  • Eurostat lfst_r_lfu3rt 2025
  • World Bank WDI 2023
  • World Bank WGI 2025
  • Eurostat demo_r_mlifexp 2024
  • World Bank WDI 2024
  • OpenStreetMap (Overpass) 2026-10
  • CAMS EAC4 via Copernicus ADS 2025
  • OpenAQ 2025
  • OECD net childcare costs 2026
  • Eurostat ilc_caindformal 2025
  • Passport Index dataset current
  • World Bank WDI + World Bank WGI 2023, 2025
  • Wikidata (local facts, CC0) 2026-10-12
  • Nager.Date (public holidays) 2026
  • Where Tomorrow forecast (trend rates on the methodology page) October 2026