Edinburgh, United Kingdom
Where TomorrowBETAPriorities

City report · today and 2035

Edinburgh

United Kingdom

Andrew Colin · CC BY 2.0

Scored on our default priorities. Set your own on the map and this report answers those instead.

From the data snapshot of 12 October 2026. The full report opens here with the live data.

Your match

61 today, 62 in 2035#14 of 46

Ahead of most places on climate resilience and tax. Behind on cost of living.

By 2035 your match moves from 61 to 62, mostly from international community (74 to 78).

At a glance

Average temperature
9.0°C
Winters 4.2°C
Monthly spend
€2,570
per person
Safety
80/100
average 83
Shortest day
6h 57m
longest 17h 37m
Air quality
9.1 µg/m³
PM2.5; WHO advises under 5
Walkability
100/100
3,175 shops within 1 km

Today and in 2035

Eight measures, 0 to 100: where each stands, and where it is heading.

  • Climate Resilience: 96 today, 95 in 2035(Climate model)

    The median of 10 climate models (CMIP6, middle-road scenario) is +0.3°C by 2035.

  • Cost of Living: 41 today, 39 in 2035(Our forecast)

    Prices here sit below the US level and tend to rise as incomes catch up.

  • Safety & Stability: 80 today, 80 in 2035(Held at today)

    Crime and political stability do not follow a trend we can project, so we hold today's value.

  • Healthcare Access: 87 today, 87 in 2035(Held at today)

    We have no trend for its spending, life expectancy and out-of-pocket mix we can defend yet, so today's value is shown.

  • Visa Freedom: 45 today, 45 in 2035(Held at today)

    Visa rules change by political decision, not by trend, so we hold today's value.

  • Community Fit: 74 today, 78 in 2035(Our forecast)

    The share of residents born abroad has been growing in most countries, and we assume it keeps growing.

  • Internet Quality: 94 today, 98 in 2035(Our forecast)

    Almost everyone is already online, so this stays near the top.

  • Tax Friendliness: 54 today, 54 in 2035(Held at today)

    Tax law changes by political decision, not by trend, so we hold today's value.

Where it shines

  • Low climate risk. Climate Resilience 96 of 100, against 86 on average across the 85 places we cover.
  • Lighter on tax. Tax Friendliness 54 of 100, against 44 on average across the 85 places we cover.
  • International crowd. Community Fit 74 of 100, against 68 on average across the 85 places we cover.

Worth weighing

  • Pricier than most. Cost of Living 41 of 100, against 60 on average across the 85 places we cover.

Weather and climate

Winters average 4.2°C, and a typical summer stays under 30°C.

Year-round average
9.0°C
Winter average
4.2°C
coldest three months
Days of 30°C or more
0
a year
Humidity
88%
yearly average
Earthquakes, magnitude 5+
0
within 100 km, 1976–2025

The median of 10 climate models is +0.3°C by 2035 on the middle-road scenario. Climate resilience moves from 96 to 95.

Sources: NASA POWER (MERRA-2) (2020–2024) · CMIP6 ensemble via Copernicus CDS (2030–2039 vs 2015–2024) · ND-GAIN Country Index + NASA POWER (MERRA-2) (2024, 2020–2024) · USGS ComCat (1976–2025)

Cost of living

The average person here spends €2,570 a month. A single worker on the average wage keeps €4,178 after tax.

Monthly spend
€2,570
average per person
Price level
89
US = 100
Rent, 2-bed flat
€1,543
Lothian average · 1-bed €1,206, 3-bed €1,984

Our forecast puts a month at about €2,630 by 2035, in today's money. Prices here sit below the US level and tend to rise as incomes catch up.

Sources: World Bank WDI (2025) · OECD Taxing Wages + World Bank WDI (2025) · ONS Price Index of Private Rents + World Bank WDI (2026-08)

Safety and healthcare

Safety scores 80 and healthcare 87, out of 100.

Homicides
1.1
per 100,000 people a year
Political stability
71/100
Life expectancy
81.4
years at birth
Hospital beds
2.4
per 1,000 people
Health spending
$6,606
per person a year (PPP)
Paid out of pocket
15%
of all health spending

Healthcare is held at 87. We have no trend for its spending, life expectancy and out-of-pocket mix we can defend yet, so today's value is shown. Safety is held at 80: crime and politics follow no trend we can project.

Sources: World Bank WDI (2021) · World Bank WGI (2025) · World Bank WDI (2024) · World Bank WDI (2022)

Everyday life

Walkability scores 100 of 100: most errands work on foot.

Walkability
100/100
Within 1 km
3,175
shops, cafés and services
Fine dust (PM2.5)
9.1
µg/m³; WHO advises under 5
Wind
5.6 m/s
yearly average

Sources: OpenStreetMap (Overpass) (2026-10) · CAMS EAC4 via Copernicus ADS (2025) · NASA POWER (MERRA-2) (2020–2024)

Children and schools

Full-time childcare for two small children costs about €560 a month after public support, 10% of an average wage.

Childcare for two
€560
a month after support, national, 2026
Fees before support
€2,801
a month, two children full-time
Childcare, share of a wage
10%
of one average wage, after support

Sources: OECD net childcare costs + World Bank WDI (2026) · OECD net childcare costs (2026)

Connection and community

17.1% of residents were born abroad, and internet scores 94 of 100.

People online
95%
Home broadband
42
lines per 100 people
Born abroad
17.1%
of residents

Our forecast moves internet from 94 to 98 and international community from 74 to 78 by 2035. The share of residents born abroad has been growing in most countries, and we assume it keeps growing.

Sources: World Bank WDI (2024)

Visas and tax

45% of the world's passports can enter without a visa arranged in advance.

Visa-free entry
45%
of the world's passports
Tax on an average wage
23.1%
17.6% income tax + 5.6% social security
Kept each month
€4,178
single, of €5,436 average gross pay
Kept each month, family
€4,397
one earner, two children
Tax take
26.9%
of the economy (GDP)
Tax friendliness
54/100

Both are held at today's values for 2035: visa and tax rules change by political decision, not by trend.

Sources: Passport Index dataset (current) · World Bank WDI (2024) · OECD Taxing Wages (2025) · OECD Taxing Wages + World Bank WDI (2025)

Not in this report yet

We would rather say so than guess. Check these before you decide.

  • Rents in Edinburgh itself (the rent shown is Lothian's), and the price of a square metre
  • Residence routes for investors, students and families, and how long each permit takes to get
  • Income tax bands, and tax regimes for newcomers
  • School fees, and childcare costs in this city rather than the country
  • What a family would keep at your own salary

Where every number comes from

  • NASA POWER (MERRA-2) 2020–2024
  • CMIP6 ensemble via Copernicus CDS 2030–2039 vs 2015–2024
  • ND-GAIN Country Index + NASA POWER (MERRA-2) 2024, 2020–2024
  • USGS ComCat 1976–2025
  • World Bank WDI 2025
  • OECD Taxing Wages + World Bank WDI 2025
  • ONS Price Index of Private Rents + World Bank WDI 2026-08
  • World Bank WDI 2021
  • World Bank WGI 2025
  • World Bank WDI 2024
  • World Bank WDI 2022
  • OpenStreetMap (Overpass) 2026-10
  • CAMS EAC4 via Copernicus ADS 2025
  • OECD net childcare costs + World Bank WDI 2026
  • OECD net childcare costs 2026
  • Passport Index dataset current
  • OECD Taxing Wages 2025
  • World Bank WDI + World Bank WGI 2021, 2025
  • Wikidata (local facts, CC0) 2026-10-12
  • Nager.Date (public holidays) 2026
  • Where Tomorrow forecast (trend rates on the methodology page) October 2026