Provence

At a glance

Average temperature

12.8°C

Winters 4.4°C

Monthly spend

€1,950

per person

Safety

76/100

average 83

Shortest day

8h 54m

longest 15h 28m

Air quality

12.0 µg/m³

PM2.5; WHO advises under 5

Walkability

0/100

0 shops within 1 km

Today and in 2035

Eight measures, 0 to 100: where each stands, and where it is heading.

• Climate Resilience: 86 today, 82 in 2035(Climate model)

  The median of 10 climate models (CMIP6, middle-road scenario) is +0.5°C by 2035 and 6 more days above 30°C a year.

• Cost of Living: 53 today, 50 in 2035(Our forecast)

  Prices here sit below the US level and tend to rise as incomes catch up.

• Safety & Stability: 76 today, 76 in 2035(Held at today)

  Crime and political stability do not follow a trend we can project, so we hold today's value.

• Healthcare Access: 92 today, 92 in 2035(Held at today)

  We have no trend for its spending, life expectancy and out-of-pocket mix we can defend yet, so today's value is shown.

• Visa Freedom: 47 today, 47 in 2035(Held at today)

  Visa rules change by political decision, not by trend, so we hold today's value.

• Community Fit: 69 today, 73 in 2035(Our forecast)

  The share of residents born abroad has been growing in most countries, and we assume it keeps growing.

• Internet Quality: 93 today, 96 in 2035(Our forecast)

  The share of people online keeps rising everywhere, fastest where it is lowest.

• Tax Friendliness: 44 today, 44 in 2035(Held at today)

  Tax law changes by political decision, not by trend, so we hold today's value.

Weather and climate

Winters average 4.4°C, and 50 days a year reach 30°C.

Year-round average

12.8°C

Winter average

4.4°C

coldest three months

Days of 30°C or more

50

a year

Humidity

70%

yearly average

Earthquakes, magnitude 5+

0

within 100 km, 1976–2025

The median of 10 climate models is +0.5°C by 2035 on the middle-road scenario, with 6 more days of 30°C a year. Climate resilience moves from 86 to 82.

Sources: NASA POWER (MERRA-2) (2020–2024) · CMIP6 ensemble via Copernicus CDS (2030–2039 vs 2015–2024) · ND-GAIN Country Index + NASA POWER (MERRA-2) (2024, 2020–2024) · USGS ComCat (1976–2025)

Cost of living

The average person here spends €1,950 a month. A single worker on the average wage keeps €2,759 after tax.

Monthly spend

€1,950

average per person

Price level

108

EU average = 100

House prices

+27%

over the last ten years

Can't heat their home

11.5%

of households

Local income level

96%

of the EU average, this region

Unemployment

7.3%

Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur

Our forecast puts a month at about €2,060 by 2035, in today's money. Prices here sit below the US level and tend to rise as incomes catch up.

Sources: World Bank WDI (2025) · OECD Taxing Wages (2025) · Eurostat prc_ppp_ind (2024) · Eurostat prc_hpi_a (2015→2025) · Eurostat ilc_mdes01 (2025) · Eurostat nama_10r_2gdp (2024) · Eurostat lfst_r_lfu3rt (2025)

Safety and healthcare

Safety scores 76 and healthcare 92, out of 100.

Homicides

1.3

per 100,000 people a year

Political stability

64/100

Life expectancy

83.8

years at birth, Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur

Hospital beds

6.2

per 1,000 people, Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur

Health spending

$6,868

per person a year (PPP)

Paid out of pocket

9%

of all health spending

Healthcare is held at 92. We have no trend for its spending, life expectancy and out-of-pocket mix we can defend yet, so today's value is shown. Safety is held at 76: crime and politics follow no trend we can project.

Sources: World Bank WDI (2023) · World Bank WGI (2025) · Eurostat demo_r_mlifexp (2024) · Eurostat hlth_rs_bdsrg2 (2024) · World Bank WDI (2024)

Everyday life

Walkability scores 0 of 100: plan on a car or transit for daily life.

Walkability

0/100

Within 1 km

0

shops, cafés and services

Fine dust (PM2.5)

12.0

µg/m³; WHO advises under 5

Wind

3.7 m/s

yearly average

Sources: OpenStreetMap (Overpass) (2026-10) · CAMS EAC4 via Copernicus ADS (2025) · NASA POWER (MERRA-2) (2020–2024)

Children and schools

Full-time childcare for two small children costs about €550 a month after public support, 14% of an average wage.

Childcare for two

€550

a month after support, national, 2026

Fees before support

€912

a month, two children full-time

Childcare, share of a wage

14%

of one average wage, after support

Under-3s in childcare

60%

part- or full-time

Sources: OECD net childcare costs (2026) · Eurostat ilc_caindformal (2025)

Connection and community

13.8% of residents were born abroad, and internet scores 93 of 100.

People online

89%

Home broadband

49

lines per 100 people

Born abroad

13.8%

of residents

Our forecast moves internet from 93 to 96 and international community from 69 to 73 by 2035. The share of residents born abroad has been growing in most countries, and we assume it keeps growing.

Sources: World Bank WDI (2024)

Visas and tax

47% of the world's passports can enter without a visa arranged in advance.

Visa-free entry

47%

of the world's passports

Tax on an average wage

28.0%

16.7% income tax + 11.3% social security

Kept each month

€2,759

single, of €3,830 average gross pay

Kept each month, family

€3,183

one earner, two children

Tax take

22.8%

of the economy (GDP)

Tax friendliness

44/100

Both are held at today's values for 2035: visa and tax rules change by political decision, not by trend.

Sources: Passport Index dataset (current) · World Bank WDI (2024) · OECD Taxing Wages (2025)

Not in this report yet

We would rather say so than guess. Check these before you decide.

• Rents and the price of a square metre
• Residence routes for investors, students and families, and how long each permit takes to get
• Income tax bands, and tax regimes for newcomers
• School fees, and childcare costs in this city rather than the country
• What a family would keep at your own salary

Where every number comes from

• NASA POWER (MERRA-2) 2020–2024
• CMIP6 ensemble via Copernicus CDS 2030–2039 vs 2015–2024
• ND-GAIN Country Index + NASA POWER (MERRA-2) 2024, 2020–2024
• USGS ComCat 1976–2025
• World Bank WDI 2025
• OECD Taxing Wages 2025
• Eurostat prc_ppp_ind 2024
• Eurostat prc_hpi_a 2015→2025
• Eurostat ilc_mdes01 2025
• Eurostat nama_10r_2gdp 2024
• Eurostat lfst_r_lfu3rt 2025
• World Bank WDI 2023
• World Bank WGI 2025
• Eurostat demo_r_mlifexp 2024
• Eurostat hlth_rs_bdsrg2 2024
• World Bank WDI 2024
• OpenStreetMap (Overpass) 2026-10
• CAMS EAC4 via Copernicus ADS 2025
• OECD net childcare costs 2026
• Eurostat ilc_caindformal 2025
• Passport Index dataset current
• World Bank WDI + World Bank WGI 2023, 2025
• Wikidata (local facts, CC0) 2026-10-12
• Nager.Date (public holidays) 2026
• Where Tomorrow forecast (trend rates on the methodology page) October 2026